The Complex Reality Behind the US-Iran Conflict and Trump's Peace Deal
CommentaryАнатолий Шарий•710,206 views•Jun 24, 2025
Anatoliy Shariy breaks down the staged nature of recent US-Iran tensions, the strategic moves by involved parties, and the surprising peace agreement brokered by Qatar.
Blurb
In this detailed commentary, Anatoliy Shariy unpacks the recent escalation and de-escalation between the US and Iran following attacks on American bases in Tehran. He reveals the staged nature of the conflict, highlighting how multiple sides use these events to save face while managing internal and external pressures. Key points include:
- The US and Iran's coordinated moves to avoid full-scale war despite provocations.
- Israel's uneasy position surrounded by hostile neighbors and its limited military options.
- The role of Qatar as a mediator facilitating a ceasefire agreement.
- The impact on regional stability and the ongoing challenges within Iran, including internal dissent and nuclear ambitions.
- Trump's surprising pivot from aggression to peace, influenced by strategic and market considerations.
- Criticism of Western media narratives and the complex realities behind geopolitical headlines.
This video offers a candid look at the chess game behind headline conflicts and the fragile peace that might hold—for now.
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Highlighted Clips
Staged Nature of the US-Iran Conflict
Shariy explains how the recent attacks and responses are part of a carefully orchestrated performance involving multiple actors to maintain appearances and avoid full-scale war.
Israel's Strategic Dilemma
Discussion on Israel's limited military options given its population size, hostile neighbors, and the risks of engaging Iran directly.
Qatar's Role in Mediating Peace
Qatar's involvement as a key mediator between the US and Iran, facilitating communication and helping broker a ceasefire agreement.
Trump's Unexpected Peace Initiative
Analysis of Trump's surprising shift from military aggression to announcing a ceasefire, including his public statements and market impacts.
Nighttime Video Breakdown and Market Waves
The video opens with Анатолий Шарий addressing his audience warmly and immediately diving into the aftermath of the recent attack on the American base in Tehran. He highlights the ongoing market fluctuations, emphasizing that these waves of buying low and selling high are deliberately orchestrated, with Donald Trump intentionally not escalating the situation further.
"Трамп эти волны не запускает и я уверен абсолютно намеренно он это делает."
This sets the tone for the video: a critical look at the geopolitical events as a kind of staged performance with deeper motives behind the scenes.
Key points:
- Market volatility linked to geopolitical tensions is being manipulated.
- Trump is deliberately avoiding escalation.
- The attack on the American base in Tehran is a central event to analyze.
The Tehran Attack: A Staged Event?
Шарий describes the Iranian response to the attack as theatrical, with grand declarations of victory and public celebrations. However, he quickly points out that the entire event seems like a "staging" involving many details and actors, including casualties, but still a performance designed for political effect.
"Стало очевидно что всё что мы видим является своего рода постановкой красивой в которой задействованы много-много деталей."
He addresses critics who lament the loss of life, urging them to abandon naive views and recognize that power struggles today are as brutal and indifferent as in medieval times.
"Вы заканчиваете с этим инфантилизмом и вспомните наконец-то что вы живёте в мире который никак не отличается от мира который существовал в средневековье."
Key points:
- The Iranian attack and response are largely performative.
- Casualties occur but are part of a broader political theater.
- The world remains a harsh place where power, not justice, rules.
- Propaganda targets educated Western populations to suppress dissent.
Political Calculations: Who Benefits?
The video explores the motivations of the main players: Iran, Israel, and the United States. Шарий suggests that most sides are using the situation to "save face" rather than escalate conflict.
"Это постановка... позволяет в общем-то всем сторонам почти всем сторонам выйти из ситуации сохранив лицо."
He speculates that Israel is unhappy with the situation but constrained by demographics and geography, while the U.S. lacks the appetite for another prolonged Middle Eastern war.
"Американцы этого не хотят потому что они помнят к чему привели предыдущие бесконечные войны."
Inside Iran, there are internal tensions, including separatist movements and dissatisfaction with the regime, which complicates the picture.
Key points:
- The conflict is a controlled scenario to avoid full-scale war.
- Israel is cautious due to population and regional isolation.
- The U.S. is war-weary and unwilling to deepen involvement.
- Iran faces internal opposition and strategic losses.
The Role of Qatar and Regional Diplomacy
Шарий reveals that the Iranian attack was coordinated with Qatar to avoid casualties among U.S. personnel, showing a level of diplomatic communication behind the scenes.
"Атака шла в тесной координации с чиновниками Катара."
Despite this, Gulf neighbors condemned the attack as a violation of international law, highlighting the complex regional dynamics.
"Соседи назвали его нарушением международного права которому нет оправдания."
The U.S. surprisingly declared no retaliation would follow, signaling a tacit agreement.
"Ответка не планируется... это однозначно указывает на то что это договорняк."
Key points:
- Qatar acted as a mediator between Iran and the U.S.
- Gulf states publicly condemned the attack despite behind-the-scenes coordination.
- The U.S. refrained from retaliating, indicating a secret deal.
- This episode reflects a delicate balance of power and diplomacy.
Trump’s Role: From Hawk to Dove
The video highlights Trump’s unexpected pivot from aggressive rhetoric to announcing a ceasefire, which surprised even some White House staff.
"На самом деле то он опасался новой Ливии... а потом вдруг голубь мира."
Trump publicly thanked Iran for the warning that prevented casualties and announced a truce, which was welcomed by both Iran and Israel.
"Он анонсировал прекращение огня... если вступит в силу положит конец двенадцатидневной войне."
This shift is interpreted as a strategic move rather than genuine peace-making, possibly linked to market manipulation and insider trading.
Key points:
- Trump surprised many by calling for peace after the attack.
- He thanked Iran for preventing U.S. casualties.
- The ceasefire was supported by both Iran and Israel.
- The move may be motivated by financial and political calculations.
Continuing Tensions and Internal Iranian Dynamics
Despite the ceasefire, Шарий notes that Iran continued launching missiles, some after the truce began, which were intercepted and explained as mistakes.
"Ещё одну или две ракеты иранцы выпустили уже после вступления сделки в силу но они были сбиты."
He discusses the fragile unity within Iran, where the government tries to present the attack as a victory to rally the population, but internal dissent and separatism remain unresolved.
"Внутренние противоречия же иранские тоже никуда не исчезли."
Key points:
- Iran’s missile launches post-ceasefire show ongoing instability.
- The regime uses the conflict to bolster national unity.
- Internal opposition and separatist movements persist.
- The situation remains volatile despite the truce.
The Nuclear Program and Future Prospects
The video touches on the fate of Iran’s nuclear ambitions. The U.S. Vice President claims Iran lost critical equipment for nuclear weapons development, but Шарий expresses skepticism.
"Я сомневаюсь в этом... Иран уйдёт чётко в подполье со своим созданием ядерного оружия."
He predicts Iran will continue clandestine nuclear development, while Israel already possesses nuclear weapons, complicating regional security.
"У Израиля есть ядерное оружие совершенно уверен в этом."
The legality of Israel’s attacks on Iran is questioned, as they violate international law, but enforcement is inconsistent.
Key points:
- Iran’s nuclear program is likely to continue underground.
- Israel’s nuclear arsenal is a significant factor.
- Israeli strikes violate international law but face little consequence.
- Regional neighbors are reconsidering their security strategies.
Netanyahu’s Position and Israeli Public Sentiment
Шарий discusses Benjamin Netanyahu’s political calculations, noting that prolonging conflict helps him maintain power amid public scrutiny.
"Для него продолжение войны - это продолжение нахождения у власти."
He contrasts Israeli public protests with Ukrainian reactions, emphasizing Israel’s active civic engagement.
"Израильтяне не украинцы... если появляются вопросы к своей власти они начинают долбить."
Netanyahu uses the "rally around the flag" effect to consolidate support.
Key points:
- Netanyahu benefits politically from ongoing conflict.
- Israeli citizens are politically active and critical.
- The government leverages national security fears to maintain control.
- Public opinion is a significant factor in Israeli politics.
Ukraine’s Missteps and Global Reactions
The video criticizes Ukrainian officials for their naive and aggressive commentary on the Middle East conflict, which backfired as the world moved toward peace.
"Дебилоидных клоунов из Киева... оказались как обычно в жопе."
Volodymyr Zelensky is portrayed as contradictory, wanting to escalate war but lamenting the distraction from Ukraine.
"Зеленский начал жаловаться о том что война на Ближнем Востоке отвлекает внимание от Украины."
The Ukrainian team’s attempts to influence the narrative are seen as ineffective and isolated.
Key points:
- Ukrainian officials misread the situation and alienated global opinion.
- Zelensky’s statements reveal conflicting priorities.
- Ukraine finds itself isolated in supporting armed aggression.
- The global community favors de-escalation.
Market Manipulation and Insider Trading
Шарий returns to the theme of market manipulation, asserting that Trump’s moves are part of insider trading schemes that affect global markets.
"Трамп играет с огнём потому что это инсайдерская торговля."
He warns that such actions could lead to Trump losing power but doubts that will happen due to his immense wealth and influence.
"Человек у которого будут триллионы не может быть осуждён."
The video closes with a sober reminder that these geopolitical games are played at a scale far beyond ordinary people's understanding, with real human costs.
"Люди гибнут да всем нам жаль но там играют совсем другими ставками."
Key points:
- Geopolitical events are used to manipulate financial markets.
- Trump’s actions may be illegal but protected by power and money.
- Ordinary people suffer while elites play high-stakes games.
- The situation remains unpredictable and dangerous.
Closing Wishes and Tone
Шарий ends the video with a wish for peace and happiness, maintaining a personal and somewhat ironic tone.
"Всем мира добра и счастья как говорится пока."
The music fades in, signaling the end of this detailed and critical commentary.
This video offers a sharp, skeptical analysis of recent Middle Eastern tensions, emphasizing the theatrical nature of political conflict, the interplay of power and markets, and the complex motivations of global actors. Анатолий Шарий blends geopolitical commentary with market observations and personal reflections, maintaining a critical voice throughout.
Key Questions
Shariy argues that the recent US-Iran tensions are largely staged events designed to allow all parties to save face and avoid full-scale war, while managing internal and external political pressures.
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